Conf = MASCAC State = MA
Nickname = Lancers Coach = Kelly DownsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.3036804 home-field advantage = -0.47 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Wheaton (MA) NEWMAC ( 9- 9, 80.4) 9-11 228 A Bates NESCAC ( 6- 9, 89.2) 1-18 302 H Wellesley NEWMAC ( 3-13, 72.9) 19- 5 306 H Simmons Great Northea ( 8-10, 72.9) 16-10 309 A Southern Maine Little East ( 6- 8, 76.0) 9- 6 314 A Emmanuel (MA) Great Northea (15- 4, 77.4) 8- 9 319 N Hartwick Empire Eight ( 7- 7, 81.5) 13-14 321 N Keene State Little East (11- 5, 79.8) 17-14 328 H Johnson & Wales Great Northea (13- 4, 80.0) 8-13 330 A Bridgewater State MASCAC ( 8-10, 76.9) 13-12 404 A Western New England Commonwealth ( 8-11, 78.4) 5-17 410 H Western Connecticut Little East (12- 5, 83.6) 13-16 412 A Massachusetts Maritime MASCAC ( 5- 8, 71.5) 21-12 417 A Westfield State MASCAC (10- 7, 86.1) 7-16 420 H Salem State MASCAC ( 2-13, 63.8) 17- 2 423 H Framingham State MASCAC (13- 3, 85.3) 11-20 427 A Fitchburg State MASCAC ( 7-10, 70.0) 18- 7 430 H Salem State MASCAC ( 2-13, 63.8) 17- 7 502 A Westfield State MASCAC (10- 7, 86.1)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Wheaton (MA) 9-11 -2 -2 0.53 228 A Bates 1-18 -17 -11 0.00 302 H Wellesley 19- 5 14 5 1.11 306 H Simmons 16-10 6 5 0.09 309 A Southern Maine 9- 6 3 1 1.15 314 A Emmanuel (MA) 8- 9 -1 0 -1.41 319 N Hartwick 13-14 -1 -3 + 2.22 321 N Keene State 17-14 3 -1 ++ 4.51 328 H Johnson & Wales 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.80 330 A Bridgewater State 13-12 1 0 0.06 404 A Western New England 5-17 -12 0 --- -6.41 410 H Western Connecticut 13-16 -3 -4 1.83 412 A Massachusetts Maritime 21-12 9 6 0.62 417 A Westfield State 7-16 -9 -8 0.00 420 H Salem State 17- 2 15 15 0.00 423 H Framingham State 11-20 -9 -6 -0.44 427 A Fitchburg State 18- 7 11 7 0.00 430 H Salem State 17- 7 10 15 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Western New England 5-17 -12 0 --- -6.41 328 H Johnson & Wales 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.80OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 N Keene State 17-14 3 -1 ++ 4.51 319 N Hartwick 13-14 -1 -3 + 2.22
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 78.30 Power Rank................. 121 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 53.13 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 125 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5849 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 129 RPI Rating............... .4960 RPI Rank................... 135 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 292 Selection sum ........... 449 Selection Rank ............ 144 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -180. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 183 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -180. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 185 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0